Only four hurricanes on record have made landfalls as Cat 4s north of Florida. #Florence may become the fifth--and could be the strongest landfall on record so far north https://t.co/Ndq8setxmi pic.twitter.com/kj14mx94yt— Bob Henson (@bhensonweather) September 11, 2018
Hurricane Florence is bearing down on the Carolinas, and it's one of those storms that brings on an incredible sense of dread for those in its path. Accuweather is predicting a financial toll in the $30 billion range for the potential Category 4 storm. While it could weaken to a Category 3 storm, the National Hurricane Center also expects that Florence will slow down -- meaning the adverse effects of the storm will last even longer.
There's not a lot I can tell you that you won't hear anywhere else. I always look at the spaghetti models of every storm, which shows the various tracks it could take. Note that nearly every scenario shows a landfall in the Carolinas or Virginia. This is one the United States is likely to escape, and could be a bad as last year's devastating hurricanes in the Houston area and in Puerto Rico.
Tropical storm force winds are expected to hit the Carolinas as early as late tomorrow, but more likely on Thursday morning. If you have loved ones in the area, please check on them and make sure they are wrapping up preparations and taking this seriously. Because we've seen what kind of damage a serious storm can do.
The earliest reasonable time that tropical-storm-force winds could arrive in the United States from #Florence is late Wednesday, and the most likely time is Thursday morning. Wednesday should be the last full day to prepare, so plan accordingly. https://t.co/tW4KeGdBFb pic.twitter.com/eD2onAT1sd— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) September 11, 2018
Also, if you're traveling, flight cancellations are going to a very real thing. With a major American Airlines hub in Charlotte, the prospect of cancellations up and down the Eastern Seaboard are quite good. Check with your airline. Chances are they are allowing fee waivers if you decide to change your plans.
Due to Hurricane #Florence, flights could be delayed and possibly cancelled. The FAA does not cancel flights so please check with your airlines for flight’s status. You can also check the status of an airport at https://t.co/TUgXxG0jZc.— The FAA (@FAANews) September 11, 2018
Photo credit: @NHC_Atlantic pic.twitter.com/SFhOCRkI0F
And as a final note, let's be thankful that we have much better information on storms and potential impacts that ever before.
As scary as these hurricanes are (and they are), can I just say - thank God for science? It wasn't long ago that the best advance info people had was a vague feeling of angst or an achy hip... #Florence— Sarah McCammon NPR (@sarahmccammon) September 11, 2018
As it approaches North Carolina, Hurricane #Florence will grow to the size of North Carolina.— Eric Holthaus (@EricHolthaus) September 11, 2018
My complete analysis of this historic storm — likely the worst to ever target the East Coast north of Florida:https://t.co/c8g3SXlewA pic.twitter.com/7QIihw0VqE
With its new, larger eye, Hurricane #Florence now looks to be making another run at Category 5.— Eric Holthaus (@EricHolthaus) September 11, 2018
The latest satellite frames are frightening.
With record wind, rain, and waves, Florence could be the worst storm to ever hit the East Coast north of Florida:https://t.co/c8g3SXlewA pic.twitter.com/99VBDD7RCd